WHAT IS BITCOIN
One
bitcoin is now worth more than $11,000 (£8,180) after the digital
currency’s value soared more than tenfold this year. In the last three days,
alone bitcoin has gained more than a quarter in value.
That’s far more than most investments return in a year, causing
many to ask how they can get in on the action and others to suggest it’s a
dangerous bubble waiting to burst.
So what exactly is bitcoin and
why is it attracting so much attention?
What is bitcoin?
Bitcoin
is a digital currency created in 2009 by a mysterious figure using the alias
Satoshi Nakamoto. It can be used to buy or sell items from people and companies
that accept bitcoin as payment, but it differs in several key ways from
traditional currencies.
Most
obviously, bitcoin doesn’t exist as a physical currency. There are no actual
coins or notes. It exists only online.
“Real-world”
currencies, like the dollar, are managed by a central bank such as the US
Federal Reserve or the Bank of England, which manage the money supply to keep
prices steady. They can print more money or withdraw some from circulation if
they think it’s needed, as well as using other monetary policy controls such as
adjusting interest rates.
Bitcoin
has no central bank and isn’t linked to or regulated by any state. The supply
of the cryptocurrency is decentralized – it can only be increased by a
process known as “mining”. For each bitcoin transaction, a computer owned by a
bitcoin “miner” must solve a difficult mathematical problem. The miner then
receives a fraction of a bitcoin as a reward. The use of problem-solving in
this way is the reason bitcoin is known as a cryptocurrency.
A
record of each transaction, using anonymized strings of numbers to identify it,
is stored on a huge public ledger known as a block chain. This acts to ensure
the integrity of the currency.
“The
system can act as a payment network that has no down time, it’s operating 24/7,
it doesn’t care where and to whom you send money,” says Michael Rauchs, a
cryptocurrency and block chain expert at the Judge Business School at the
University of Cambridge.
Why is bitcoin’s value soaring?
Like
all assets or currencies, bitcoin's price is determined by the amount that
people are willing to pay for it. Whether that is the “right” valuation, and
whether bitcoin is truly worth that amount or not, is largely down to opinion.
JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon recently
labelled bitcoin a fraud, and said its astronomic rise in value is a
text-book financial bubble comparable to the Dutch “tulip mania” of the 17th
century, which saw speculators push up the price of one bulb to ten times the
annual salary of a skilled worker – before quickly losing almost all of that
value.
Speculation
has fuelled bitcoin’s rapid ascent in recent weeks, Rauchs says, but there have
been signs that the cryptocurrency is moving from the fringes of the internet
to the mainstream. He points to more than 100 hedge funds specializing in
cryptocurrencies that have started recently, triggering the current price surge.
CME
Group, which owns the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, where trillions of dollars
of derivatives contracts for global commodities are traded each year, has said
it wants to offer bitcoin futures by the end of the year. Some analysts say
this is a sign that bigger financial players could be ready to enter the
market.
The
number of people using the cryptocurrency has also risen from around three to
six million in April, to between 10 and 20 million people now, although exact
figures are very difficult to establish, Rauchs says.
Can I still make money out of bitcoin?
It’s impossible to say with any certainty, but anyone investing
in bitcoin should be aware that it’s a risky thing to trade.
Bitcoin
slumped from $1,150 to below $500 in late 2013, after widespread media coverage
prompted many people to buy it for the first time, fuelling a bubble that then
burst. Bitcoin didn’t pass its previous high for almost four years.
However,
if the cryptocurrency was to move into the mainstream and become a recognized
medium of exchange around the world, its value would likely increase
dramatically. But that scenario is far from being a certainty.
Regulators are not particularly concerned by bitcoin and other
cryptocurrencies like ethereum at present. Bank of England Deputy
Governor enough to pose a threat to the global economy. But if they saw
bitcoin as unsafe and began to crack down on it, this could hurt its
value.
Where can you spend Bitcoin?
The
number of companies accepting bitcoin payments is growing rapidly. Microsoft
and travel website Expedia both take bitcoin, and Icelandic singer Bjork is
also accepting bitcoin payments for her latest album. Retailers in Japan can
now accept bitcoin payments thanks to a new law passed this year, and small
businesses can accept bitcoin payments through simple plugins that add to
WordPress websites.
The
currency has also found favor in countries experiencing political turmoil like
Zimbabwe and Venezuela.
What is Bitcoin's connection to the dark web?
Bitcoin
has a reputation for being used by criminals, particularly people selling drugs
on the dark web. On marketplaces such as the now-defunct Silk Road and its more
modern imitators, cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin have been the only method of
payment, largely because they are theoretically untraceable.
Transactions
can be tracked, giving a higher level of security than handing over money to
the average street dealer, but identities (generally) can’t. Bitcoin is still
used to buy drugs online, but its use has spread far beyond that.
Could bitcoin’s rapid rise be a bubble?
Hundreds
of articles speculating on how high bitcoin could go now seem to be published
each week. Hedge fund manager Mike Novogratz told CNBC it could quadruple to
$40,000 by the end of 2018. A piece on the investing website Motley Fool in May
questioned whether it could go to $1m.
But
according to Rauchs, the current frenzy is bitcoin’s fifth bubble. “After all
of the previous four it crashed and remained low for some time before bouncing
back,” he says.
“It has
been going crazy over the last 10 to 12 days, and that is not backed by any
fundamentals. It’s really a self-fulfilling prophecy, driven by fear of
missing out.”
This is
partly down to the economic environment, Rauchs says. “We’ve had low or even negative
interest rates for some time and stock and bond markets are already at all-time
highs, while bitcoin is giving these incredible returns.”
Despite
this, Rauchs still believes the outlook for bitcoin and block chain technology
is strong. “I would put it in the same category of revolutionary new
technologies like the internet,” he says.
“These
world-changing systems tend to be accompanied by bubbles in their early stages.
What’s happening now is completely normal.”
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